Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Updated 13 h ago

Source: Polymarket public market data. Prices and probabilities can change rapidly; availability and update timing vary. Historical movement does not guarantee future movement. Signals are informational, not guaranteed trading opportunities.

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PROGY INTELLIGENCE

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YES

21%

WHAT CHANGED

Building history — not enough historical data yet for the last hour.

HOW IT DEVELOPED

BUILDING HISTORY

Not enough historical data yet.

80%

WHAT CHANGED

Building history — not enough historical data yet for the last hour.

HOW IT DEVELOPED

BUILDING HISTORY

Not enough historical data yet.

SIGNAL HISTORY

No significant signals yet.

PROGY is monitoring the market and will show meaningful movements here.

ABOUT THIS MARKET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

STATUS: OPEN
VOLUME: $96.9K
LIQUIDITY: $2.7K