POLITICS

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Updated 1 d ago

Source: Polymarket public market data. Prices and probabilities can change rapidly; availability and update timing vary. Historical movement does not guarantee future movement. Signals are informational, not guaranteed trading opportunities.

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20%

WHAT CHANGED

Building history — not enough historical data yet for the last hour.

HOW IT DEVELOPED

BUILDING HISTORY

Not enough historical data yet.

YES

81%

WHAT CHANGED

Building history — not enough historical data yet for the last hour.

HOW IT DEVELOPED

BUILDING HISTORY

Not enough historical data yet.

SIGNAL HISTORY

No significant signals yet.

PROGY is monitoring the market and will show meaningful movements here.

ABOUT THIS MARKET

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

STATUS: OPEN
VOLUME: $4.8M
LIQUIDITY: $665.1K