TECHNOLOGY

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?

Updated 2 h ago

Source: Polymarket public market data. Prices and probabilities can change rapidly; availability and update timing vary. Historical movement does not guarantee future movement. Signals are informational, not guaranteed trading opportunities.

About this information

PROGY provides informational analytics and AI-generated explanations about prediction markets. Content may be incomplete, inaccurate, delayed or based on uncertain information. PROGY is not a betting platform and does not execute trades. Content is not financial, investment, legal or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade or participate in a market. Predictions and market probabilities are uncertain and do not guarantee future outcomes. You are responsible for your decisions and should independently verify important information.

PROGY INTELLIGENCE

AI explanations for this market are available to signed-in users.

YES

12%

WHAT CHANGED

Building history — not enough historical data yet for the last hour.

HOW IT DEVELOPED

BUILDING HISTORY

Not enough historical data yet.

88%

WHAT CHANGED

Building history — not enough historical data yet for the last hour.

HOW IT DEVELOPED

BUILDING HISTORY

Not enough historical data yet.

SIGNAL HISTORY

No significant signals yet.

PROGY is monitoring the market and will show meaningful movements here.

ABOUT THIS MARKET

This market will resolve according to the asset which has the best performance in 2026 among Bitcoin, Gold, and the S&P 500 with performance measured as the percentage change in price during the year for each asset. The percentage change in price for Bitcoin will be calculated by comparing the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on January 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET to the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT on December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for Bitcoin will be Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT in the chart with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar and the mouse on the candle for the relevant minute (the “time tools” selection may be used to view historical candles). The percentage change in Gold will be calculated by comparing the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by MarketWatch. The resolution source for Gold will be MarketWatch, specifically the close values reported for Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) under “Historical Quotes” at https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/future/gc00. The percentage change in the S&P 500 will be calculated by comparing the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2025 to the official S&P 500 Index (^SPX) Close price for the last trading day in 2026, as reported by Yahoo Finance. The resolution source for the S&P 500 will be Yahoo Finance, specifically the Close values published by Yahoo Finance for S&P 500 Index (^SPX) at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESPX/history/. If two or more listed assets have exactly the same performance for 2026, this market will resolve according to the asset whose name, as listed in the title of this market, comes first alphabetically (e.g. if Bitcoin and Gold tie, t

STATUS: OPEN
VOLUME: $461.8K
LIQUIDITY: $34.9K