ECONOMY

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?

Updated 3 h ago

Source: Polymarket public market data. Prices and probabilities can change rapidly; availability and update timing vary. Historical movement does not guarantee future movement. Signals are informational, not guaranteed trading opportunities.

About this information

PROGY provides informational analytics and AI-generated explanations about prediction markets. Content may be incomplete, inaccurate, delayed or based on uncertain information. PROGY is not a betting platform and does not execute trades. Content is not financial, investment, legal or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade or participate in a market. Predictions and market probabilities are uncertain and do not guarantee future outcomes. You are responsible for your decisions and should independently verify important information.

PROGY INTELLIGENCE

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YES

WHAT CHANGED

Building history — not enough historical data yet for the last hour.

HOW IT DEVELOPED

BUILDING HISTORY

Not enough historical data yet.

98%

WHAT CHANGED

Building history — not enough historical data yet for the last hour.

HOW IT DEVELOPED

BUILDING HISTORY

Not enough historical data yet.

SIGNAL HISTORY

No significant signals yet.

PROGY is monitoring the market and will show meaningful movements here.

ABOUT THIS MARKET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

STATUS: OPEN
VOLUME: $39K
LIQUIDITY: $1.4K