U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Updated 23 h ago

Source: Polymarket public market data. Prices and probabilities can change rapidly; availability and update timing vary. Historical movement does not guarantee future movement. Signals are informational, not guaranteed trading opportunities.

About this information

PROGY provides informational analytics and AI-generated explanations about prediction markets. Content may be incomplete, inaccurate, delayed or based on uncertain information. PROGY is not a betting platform and does not execute trades. Content is not financial, investment, legal or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, trade or participate in a market. Predictions and market probabilities are uncertain and do not guarantee future outcomes. You are responsible for your decisions and should independently verify important information.

PROGY INTELLIGENCE

AI explanations for this market are available to signed-in users.

YES

13%

WHAT CHANGED

Building history — not enough historical data yet for the last hour.

HOW IT DEVELOPED

BUILDING HISTORY

Not enough historical data yet.

88%

WHAT CHANGED

Building history — not enough historical data yet for the last hour.

HOW IT DEVELOPED

BUILDING HISTORY

Not enough historical data yet.

SIGNAL HISTORY

No significant signals yet.

PROGY is monitoring the market and will show meaningful movements here.

ABOUT THIS MARKET

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models. - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training. - Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web. - Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

STATUS: OPEN
VOLUME: $207.3K
LIQUIDITY: $15.9K